While the spread of the COVID-19 coronavirus continues to have major implications for public health and economic stability around the world, Colliers conducted surveys among the main occupiers in Romania, mainly between 6th and 10th of April, 2020, within 106 companies.
Close to 30% of the respondents represent companies with more than 1,000 employees, having a big „say” on the current office environment.
While 55% of respondents witnessed negative or somewhat negative impact over their business due to Covid-19, 16% of them are experiencing „business as usual” so far.
Looking ahead, most of the market agrees that the activity will be negatively impacted in the next 3 - 9 months. While approx. 50% of the respondents have limited clarity regarding the outbreak’s effect on their operations on a longer period (more than 9 months), 16% of them expect to experience business as usual by the year end.
With a majority of respondents looking at business recovery starting with 2021, 34% of the interviewed companies expect it to occur starting with the second half of this year.
70% of the respondents expect a decreasing trend in rents as a consequence of the covid-19 outbreak, out of which 23% expect a major correction. 20% do not see the rents changing at all. None of the interviewed tenants expects an increase in rents going forward.
While 92% the respondents expect to return as soon as mid –late Q2 or early Q3 2020, the remaining 8% expects to be able to return as late as early Q4 2020. While a quarter of the respondents does not have yet a clear picture of how Covid-19 outbreak will affect the number of employees, 40% expect no change in the number of employees and approx 17% estimates increase while 15% estimates decreases.
Only 9% of the respondents expect a smaller impact compared the previous downturn and together with the ones that expect a similar impact make up approx. 25% of the answers. The remaining 3 quarters expect a bigger (48%) or a considerable bigger (27%) impact over their businesses. This, combined with the majority of respondents’ opinion that things will improve in 2021 leads to the silver lining, that we are looking at a V-shaped recovery. (source: Colliers)
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